面向频繁启停循环条件的滚动轴承剩余使用寿命预测研究
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1.江苏大学机械工程学院镇江212013; 2.中国矿业大学煤炭精细勘探与智能开发全国重点实验室徐州221116; 3.江苏大学汽车工程研究院镇江212013; 4.苏州大学轨道交通学院苏州215131

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TH133.3

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煤炭精细勘探与智能开发全国重点实验室开放研究课题(SKLCRSM24KF009)项目资助


The remaining useful life prediction research for rolling bearings under frequent start-stop cycle conditions
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1.School of Mechanical Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China; 2.The State Key Laboratory for Fine Exploration and Intelligent Development of Coal Resources, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China; 3.Automotive Engineering Research Institute, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China; 4.School of Rail Transportation, Soochow University, Suzhou 215131, China

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    摘要:

    滚动轴承在频繁启停循环工况下的剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测受到工况频繁切换的影响,致使特征与退化状态的关联性弱化,且退化轨迹呈现周期性波动,传统方法难以构建有效健康指标。为此,一种基于SA-PSO-STL的虚拟健康指标构建方法被提出。首先,针对关联性弱化问题,采用结合模拟退火的粒子群优化算法(SA-PSO)筛选与退化状态强相关的敏感退化特征,以提取与轴承退化过程高度相关的特征信息,增强退化表征的单调性、趋势性、鲁棒性,并利用主成分分析(PCA)对优选特征进行融合;其次,针对退化轨迹的周期性波动干扰,引入STL分解提取退化趋势,剥离周期性波动与残差噪声,从而获得能够清晰、稳定表征全寿命退化过程的虚拟健康指标。在此基础上,构建基于稀疏高斯过程回归模型(SGPR)的自适应多阶段RUL预测模型。所提模型采用3组频繁启停循环工况下的轴承全寿命实验数据进行验证,实验研究显示,其构建的虚拟健康指标在A、B、C 3组数据上的综合评分分别为0.955 5、0.962 2与0.989 2;RUL预测在对应数据上的均方根误差(RMSE)分别为0.106、0.047与0.014,平均绝对误差(MAE)分别为0.012、0.002与0.002,上述定量指标均明显优于所有对比模型,充分证明了该模型在频繁启停循环工况下强化退化趋势表征、提高轴承剩余使用寿命预测精度方面的有效性与创新性。

    Abstract:

    The remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of rolling bearings under frequent start-stop cycle conditions is affected by the frequent switching of working conditions, which results in the weakened correlations between features and degradation states as well as periodic fluctuations of degradation trajectory. These issues make it difficult for traditional methods to construct effective health indicators. Accordingly a virtual health indicator construction method based on SA-PSO-STL is proposed to address this issue. For the weakened correlation problem, a simulated annealing particle swarm optimization (SA-PSO) algorithm is used to screen sensitive degradation features strongly correlated with degradation states. This process extracts feature information highly relevant to the bearing degradation process, thereby enhancing the monotonicity, trendability, and robustness of degradation representations. Then the principal component analysis (PCA) is utilized to fuse the selected features. Furthermore in order to mitigate the interference of periodic fluctuations in the degradation trajectory, the seasonal and trend decomposition based on the loess (STL) is employed for extracting the trend and separating periodic fluctuations as well as residual noise, thereby obtaining the virtual health indicators that can clearly and stably characterize the entire life cycle degradation process. Finally an adaptive multi-stage degradation model based on the sparse gaussian process regression (SGPR) is performed for the remaining useful life prediction. The experimental validation is conducted using three sets of full life cycle bearing data under different frequent start-stop cycle conditions. The results show that the constructed virtual health indicator (VHI) achieves comprehensive evaluation scores of 0.955 5, 0.962 2, and 0.989 2 on datasets A, B, and C respectively, while the corresponding RUL predictions demonstrate root mean square errors (RMSE) of 0.106, 0.047, and 0.014, as well as mean absolute errors (MAE) of 0.012, 0.002, and 0.002, respectively. It′s found that all quantitative indicators are significantly superior to all comparison models, which demonstrate the effectiveness and innovation of proposed model in enhancing the characterization of degradation trends and improving the prediction accuracy of bearing remaining useful life under frequent start-stop cycle conditions.

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高晓旭,樊薇,陈超,陈龙,朱忠奎.面向频繁启停循环条件的滚动轴承剩余使用寿命预测研究[J].仪器仪表学报,2026,47(3):346-359

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-22
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